Assessing Interdependencies Between Food and Energy Prices: The Case of Biodiesel in Germany

DOI 10.7160/aol.2017.090305
No 3/2017, September
pp. 51-59

Lajdová, Z., Kapusta, J. and Bielik, P. (2017) “Assessing Interdependencies Between Food and EnergyPrices: The Case of Biodiesel in Germany", AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Vol. 9,No. 3, pp. 51 - 59. ISSN 1804-1930. DOI 10.7160/aol.2017.090305.

Abstract

The paper aims to analyse the relationship between energy prices (biodiesel, crude oil) and food commodities - vegetable oils used also as feedstock for biodiesel production. The econometric technique of price transmission, such as unit root test, cointegration test and vector error correction model, is applied to assess the interdependencies between energy prices and vegetable oil prices in Germany. Results suggest close price linkages between prices of vegetable oils and biodiesel and confirm that the vegetable oil prices drive the price dynamics of biodiesel. However, the simultaneous relationship is only revealed between biodiesel and soybean oil prices. The increase in crude oil prices is found to lead to an upward trend in the vegetable oils used for biodiesel production, thus influencing biodiesel prices as well.

Keywords

Biodiesel, crude oil, food, Germany, price transmission.

References

  1. Bakhat, M. and Würzburg, K. (2013) “Price relationships and Crude oil and Food Commodities“, Economics for energy, Alcoa Advancing Sustainability Initiative to Research and Leverage Actionable Solutions on Energy and Environmental Economics, WP FA06/2013. ISSN 2172-8437.
  2. Banse, M., van Meijl, H., Tabeau, A, Woltjet, G., Hellmann, F. and Verburg, P. H. (2011) “Impact of EU biofuel policies on world agricultural production and land use”, Biomass and Bioenergy, Vol. 3, pp. 2385-2390. ISSN 0961-9534.
  3. Barnwal, B. K. and Sharma, M.P . (2005) “Prospects of biodiesel production from vegetable oils in India”, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 9, No. 4, pp. 363-378. ISSN 1364-0321. DOI 10.1016/j.rser.2004.05.007.
  4. Bentivoglio, D., Finco, A., Bacchi, M. R. P and Spedicato, G. (2014) “European biodiesel market and rapeseed oil: Which impact on agricultural food prices?“, Int.. J. Global Energy Issues - Special Issue on Bio-Energy, Economics and Policy, Vol. 37, No. 5/6.
  5. Bentivoglio, D. and Rasetti, M. (2015) “Biofuel sustainability: review of implications for land use and food price”, Rivista di Economia Agraria, Vol. 70, No. 1, pp. 7-31. ISSN 0035-6190. DOI 10.13128/REA-16975.
  6. Bentivoglio, D. (2016) “Biofuel-food market interaction: exploring the price link in the European and Brazilian context”, Rivista di Economia Agraria, Vol. 71, No. 1, pp. 570-579. ISSN 0035-6190. DOI 10.13128/REA-18673.
  7. Bobadilla, M.C. et al. (2017) “An Improvement in Biodiesel Production from Waste Cooking Oil by Applying Thought Multi-Response Surface Methodology Using Desirability Functions”, Energies, Vol. 10, No. 1. ISSN 1996-1073. DOI 10.3390/en10010130.
  8. Burakov, D. (2017) “Do Sunspots Matter for Cycles in Agricultural Lending: A VEC Approach to Russian Wheat Market”, Agris on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Vol. 9, No. 1, pp. 17-31. ISSN 1804-1930. DOI 10.7160/aol.2017.090102.
  9. Busse, S. and Ihle, R. (2009) “German Rapeseed Oil and Biodiesel Pricing under Changing Market Conditions: A Markov-switching Vector Error Correction Model Approach”. International Association of Agricultural Economists Conference, Beijing, China. [Online]. Available: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/51032/2/Busse_173.pdf [Accessed: 15 May 2017].
  10. Busse, S., Brümmer, B. and Ihle, R. (2010) “Integration of Biodiesel and Crude Oil Prices”. [Online]. Available: http://oega.boku.ac.at/fileadmin/user_upload/Tagung/2010/Short_paper_2010/13_ Busse_et_al-OEGA_TB_2010.pdf [Accessed: 15 May 2017].
  11. Busse, S., Brümmer, B. and Ihle, R. (2010) “The Pattern of Integration between Fossil Fuel and Vegetable Oil Markets: The Case of Biodiesel in Germany”. [Online]. Available: http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/.
  12. Capitani, D. H. D. (2014) “Biofuels versus food: How much Brazilian ethanol production can affect domestic food prices? “. Agricultural & Applied Economics Association’s 2014 AAEA Annual Meeting, Minneapolis. [Online]. Available: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/170267/2/ AAEA%202014_Capitani_paper%204941.pdf [Accessed: 15 May 2009].
  13. Ciaian, P. and Kancs, A. (2011) “Interdependencies in the energy-bioenergy-food price systems: A cointegration analysis”, Resource and Energy Economics, Vol. 33, No. 1, pp. 326-348. ISSN 0928-7655. DOI 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2010.07.004.
  14. Chen, B. and Saghaian, S. (2015) “The Relationship among Ethanol, Sugar and Oil Prices in Brazil: Cointegration Analysis with Structural Breaks“. Southern Agricultural Economics Association’s 2015 Annual Meeting, Atlanta, Georgia. [Online]. Available: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/ bitstream/196788/2/The%20Relationship%20among%20Ethanol,%20Sugar%20and%20Oil%20 Prices%20in%20Brazil%20Cointegration%20Analysis%20with%20Structural%20Breaks.pdf [Accessed: 3 May 2017].
  15. Demirbas, A. (2008) “Biofuels sources, biofuel policy, biofuel economy and global biofuel projections”, Energy Conversion and Management, Vol. 49, No. 8, pp. 2106-2116. ISSN 0196-8904. DOI 10.1016/j.enconman.2008.02.020.
  16. Blanco, F. M., Burrell, A., Gay, S., Henseler, M., Kavallari, A., M'barek, R., Pérez, D. I. and Tonini, A. (2010) “Impacts of the EU Biofuel Target on Agricultural Markets and Land Use. A Comparative Modelling Assessment“, JRC European Commission. ISSN 1018-5593. DOI 10.2791/45105.
  17. Gaith, Z., Awad, M. I. (2011) “Examing the long term relationship between crude oil and food commodity prices: co-integration and causality“, International Journal of Economics and Management Sciences, Vol. 1, No. 5. pp. 62-72.
  18. Hao, N., Colson. G., Karali, B. and Wetzstein, M. (2013) “Food before Biodiesel Fuel?“. Southern Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA) Annual Meeting, Orlando, Florida, 3-5 February 2013. [Online]. Available: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/143078/2/Food%20before%20 Biodiesel%20Fuel.pdf [Accessed: 10 May 2017].
  19. Hassouneh, I., Serra, T., Goodwin, B. K. and Gil, J. M. (2012) “Non-parametric and parametric modelling of biodiesel, sunflower oil, and crude oil price relationships”, Energy Economics, Vol. 34, No. 5, pp.1507–1513. ISSN 0140-9883. DOI 10.1016/j.eneco.2012.06.027.
  20. International Energy Agency (2015) “Biofuels Quota Act“. [Online]. Available: https://www.iea.org/ policiesandmeasures/pams/germany/name-38694-en.php [Accessed: 25 April 2017].
  21. Issariyakul, T. and Dalai, A. K. (2014) “Biodiesel from vegetable oils“, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 31, pp. 446-471. ISSN 1364-0321. DOI 10.1016/j.rser.2013.11.001.
  22. Jena, P. K. (2016) “Commodity market integration and price transmission: Empirical evidence from India“, Theoretical and Applied Economics, Vol. 23, No. 3, pp. 283-306.
  23. Kristoufek, L., Janda, K. and Zilberman, D. (2012) “Mutual Responsiveness of Biofuels, Fuels and Food Prices”. CAMA Working paper 38/2012, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Australian National University. [Online]. Available: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers. cfm?abstract_id=2294754 [Accessed: 23 April 2017].
  24. Kristoufek, L., Janda, K. and Zilberman, D. (2013) “Price transmission between biofuels, fuels, and food commodities”, Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining, Vol. 8, No. 3, pp. 362-373. ISSN 1932-1031. DOI 10.1002/bbb.1464.
  25. Knothe, G., Dunn, R. O. and Bagby, M. O. (n.d) “Biodiesel: The Use of Vegetable Oils and Their Derivatives as Alternative Diesel Fuels“. Oil Chemical Reserach. National Center for Agricultural Utilization Research. U.S. Department of Agriculture. [Online]. Available: http://journeytoforever. org/biofuel_library/VegetableOilsKnothe.pdf [Accessed: 3 May 2017].
  26. Lajdova, Z., Kapusta, J. and Bielik, P. (2015) “Price linkages between biofuels and food commodities“, ICABR 2015. Brno: Mendel University, pp. 571-579. ISBN 978-80-7509-379-0.
  27. Naik, S. N., Goud, V., Rout, P.K and Dalai, A. K. (2010) “Production of first and second generation biofuels : A comprehensive review“, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 14, No. 2, pp. 578-597. ISSN 1364-0321. DOI 10.1016/j.rser.2009.10.003.
  28. Natanelov, V., Mckenzie, A. M. and Huylenbroeck, G. (2013) “Crude oil-corn-ethanol – nexus: A contextual approach”, Energy Policy, Vol. 63, pp. 504-513. ISSN 0301-4215. DOI 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.08.026.
  29. Peri, M. and Baldi, L. (2010) “Vegetable oil market and biofuel policy: An asymmetric cointegration approach“, Energy Economics, Vol. 32, pp. 687-693. ISSN 0140-9883. DOI 10.1016/j.eneco.2009.09.004.
  30. Pires, A. and Schechtman, R. (2010) “International Biofuels Policies“. Ethanol and Bioelectricity. Sugarcane in the Future of the Energy Matrix. [Online]. Available: http://sugarcane.org/resourcelibrary/ books/International%20Biofuels%20Policy.pdf [Accessed: 3 May 2017].
  31. Serra, T., Zilberman, D., Gil, J. M. and Goodwin, B. K. (2011) “Nonlinearities in the U.S. corn-ethanol-oil-gasoline price system“, Agricultural Economics, Vol. 42, No. 1, pp. 35–45. E-ISSN 1574-0862. DOI 10.1111/j.1574-0862.2010.00464.x.
  32. Shereena, K.M. and Thangaraj, T. (2009) “Biodiesel: an Alternative fuel Produced from Vegetable Oils by Transesterification”, Electronic Journal of Biology, Vol. 5, No. 3, pp. 67-74. ISSN 1860-3122.
  33. Vasile, A. J., Andreea, I. R., Popescu, Ch. H., Elvira, N. and Marian, Z. (2016) ”Implications of agricultural bioenergy crop production and prices in changing the land use paradigm - The case of Romania“, Land Use Policy, Vol. 50, pp. 399-407. ISSN 0264-8377. DOI 10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.10.011.
  34. Yu, T., Bessler, D. A. and Fuller, S. (2006) “Cointegration and Causality Analysis of World Vegetable Oil and Crude Oil Prices“, Agricultural Economics Association. Annual Meeting. California. [Online]. Available: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/21439/1/sp06yu02.pdf [Accessed: 23 April 2017].
  35. Zahran, H. (2013) “Biodiesel profitability and linkages to the soybean oil market”. University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. [Online]. Available: https://www.ideals.illinois.edu/handle/2142/45274 [Accessed: 28 April 2017].

Full paper

  Full paper (.pdf, 1.06 MB).